Will the stated public criterion be met by the deadline?
64%EXAMPLE
PROBABILITY
PROBABILITY
Evidence linkedCounter-signalsAuditable result
PROBABILITY RESEARCH FOR AI AGENTS
Turn uncertainty into an evidence-backed probability.
CrowdGap researches a measurable future question, links the public evidence, and returns a structured result your AI agent can inspect.
7 days · 3 forecasts · 0 XRP · No automatic conversion
Fit check: No login · No research · No payment
FIRST REAL PUBLIC FORECAST · FROZEN 22 AUGUST 2026
A probability you can inspect—and later score.
This is live CrowdGap research, not an illustrative demo. Its probability and evidence record are frozen before the outcome.
Will BatchV1_1 be enabled on XRPL Mainnet by 30 September 2026 at 23:59 UTC?
32%CROWDGAP
PROBABILITY
PROBABILITY
CrowdGap assigns a 32% probability. The corrected amendment shipped in xrpld 3.3.0, but the latest validated-ledger view showed no amendment in the mandatory 14-day activation countdown. Activation by the deadline therefore requires validator support to rise above 80% by mid-September and remain there without interruption.
- Evidence
- 4 public sources
- Deadline
- 30 Sep 2026 · 23:59 UTC
- Audit
- 3a78556f912e…
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Research only. This 32% forecast can be wrong. It is not a betting pick, investment recommendation, trading signal, or promise.
LIVE PUBLIC DATA · SERVER REFRESHED
Current facts. No borrowed probabilities.
These timestamped source facts are refreshed before this page is delivered. They are not betting odds, picks, investment advice, or CrowdGap forecasts.
BTC / USD
$86,538.00Latest Coinbase Exchange trade snapshot. Market data is not a CrowdGap probability.
QUESTION STARTERWill the BTC-USD last-trade price be at or above $86,538.00 at 23:59 UTC on 2026-10-06?
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Observed 2026-10-05T02:22:34.091200307Z
XRP / USD
$1.5240Latest Coinbase Exchange trade snapshot. Market data is not a CrowdGap probability.
QUESTION STARTERWill the XRP-USD last-trade price be at or above $1.5240 at 23:59 UTC on 2026-10-06?
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Observed 2026-10-05T02:22:34.563074933Z
ETH / USD
$2,733.11Latest Coinbase Exchange trade snapshot. Market data is not a CrowdGap probability.
QUESTION STARTERWill the ETH-USD last-trade price be at or above $2,733.11 at 23:59 UTC on 2026-10-06?
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Observed 2026-10-05T02:22:35.289337966Z
EUR / USD
1 EUR = 1.1225 USDLatest available ECB daily reference rate; not an executable quote or trading signal.
QUESTION STARTERWill the ECB EUR/USD reference rate be above 1.1225 on 2026-10-12?
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Observed 2026-10-02T16:00:00Z
Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians
ScheduledOfficial game state only. CrowdGap does not import sportsbook odds or place wagers.
QUESTION STARTERWill Chicago White Sox defeat Cleveland Guardians in the MLB game scheduled for 2026-10-05T21:00:00Z?
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Observed 2026-10-05T21:00:00Z
A real probability is generated only after a separate, human-authorized research request with public evidence and audit metadata.
3 ACTUAL USE CASE STUDIES
See the evidence state—not a sales story.
One case is a real frozen forecast. Two begin with current public data and remain labeled starters until a human authorizes research.
Governance agent monitors an XRPL amendment deadline.
Will BatchV1_1 be enabled on XRPL Mainnet by 30 September 2026 at 23:59 UTC?
32%FROZEN PROBABILITY
LOW CONFIDENCE
LOW CONFIDENCE
- Evidence
- 4 public sources
- Agent value
- Timing-risk brief with counter-signals
- Truth state
- Outcome unresolved · scoring pending
A market-monitoring agent turns a live fact into a resolvable question.
XRP / USD$1.5240Observed 2026-10-05T02:22:34.563074933Z
Will the XRP-USD last-trade price be at or above $1.5240 at 23:59 UTC on 2026-10-06?
- Public source
- Coinbase Exchange
- Next step
- Fit → preflight → human-approved trial
- Truth state
- Source fact only · research not run
A sports copilot frames an official event outcome without sportsbook data.
Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland GuardiansScheduledObserved 2026-10-05T21:00:00Z
Will Chicago White Sox defeat Cleveland Guardians in the MLB game scheduled for 2026-10-05T21:00:00Z?
- Public source
- MLB
- Next step
- Fit → preflight → human-approved trial
- Truth state
- Official state only · no wager placed
WHAT “ACTUAL” MEANS: Real research is labeled real. Current facts are labeled starters. CrowdGap invents no customer result, accuracy, ROI, odds, pick, trade, or wager.
ONE CLEAR WORKFLOW
From question to decision support.
No account is needed to check fit. A human remains responsible for payment and every consequential action.
Describe the uncertaintyA future outcome with a measurable deadline.
Confirm public evidenceName the public HTTPS source that will resolve it.
Receive a structured briefProbability, evidence, assumptions, counter-signals, limits, and audit metadata.
It stores no use-case text, performs no research, consumes no quota, and cannot create a payment.
Run free fit check →10 SPORTS & FINANCE EXAMPLES
See what a good question looks like.
Tap any topic. These are framing examples—not live odds, picks, advice, or promises.
01Football+
Will the named team win in regulation time?RESEARCH WOULD TEST
Lineups · injuries · form · venue
02Football+
Will both named teams score?RESEARCH WOULD TEST
Attack · defence · tactics · weather
03Tournament+
Will the named team qualify for the next round?RESEARCH WOULD TEST
Standings · tie-breaks · opponents
04Interest rates+
Will the named central bank cut rates?RESEARCH WOULD TEST
Inflation · labour · policy guidance
05Inflation+
Will the named measure print below the threshold?RESEARCH WOULD TEST
Components · base effects · surveys
06Earnings+
Will the company beat its revenue threshold?RESEARCH WOULD TEST
Guidance · segments · industry data
07M&A+
Will the announced deal receive final clearance?RESEARCH WOULD TEST
Regulators · remedies · litigation
08Crypto+
Will the protocol upgrade activate on time?RESEARCH WOULD TEST
Releases · validators · audits · blockers
09Markets+
Will the benchmark close above the target level?RESEARCH WOULD TEST
Macro · earnings · volatility · events
10ETF+
Will the regulator approve the application?RESEARCH WOULD TEST
Filings · precedent · deadlines · delays
START FREE · THEN CHOOSE
Seven days before any payment.
The trial includes three forecasts for 0 XRP, creates no payment, and never converts automatically. Paid plans retain their fixed terms and renew manually.
Three forecasts. Private client-held key. No renewal or automatic conversion.
Start free trial →30 forecast requests per rolling 30 days.
30 forecast requests per rolling 30 days.
HUMAN AUTHORIZATION REQUIREDRenewal is manual. CrowdGap uses XRPL Mainnet with a mandatory Destination Tag. It never connects to wallets, signs or sends XRP, controls funds, places wagers, trades, or makes final decisions.
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